First Alert Hurricane Tracker

There is much to talk about this morning First of all the European ensembles which earlier in the week had a warm looking 10-15 ( still do) have a cold…

Some recent SSWs – 2009. and 2001. AO is drifting down. It should accelerate. the GEFS sees the normal -AO temperature anomalies across the hemisphere. The 16 day GFS shows…

So we go from this on the 00z turn from Wednesday evening that the entire weekly package was based on For 00z Friday Feb 16 to this at 12z yesterday…

This looks like the ANTILOG to what we look for to get warmth over the eastern U.S. The model run is very warm and bearish, once past the front 10…

It is hard to believe this kind of flip in the model, given the analogs and the actual weather in the source regions which argue for the opposite. I would…

GWO was cited by media as the only organization correctly predicting last year’s Atlantic hurricane season and destructive landfalls OCALA, FLA. (PRWEB) JANUARY 18, 2018 Global Weather Oscillations (GWO) was…

I like the storm next week, The models have a problem that most likely will affect the US model more in that the real storm will be the second piece…

Many who normally ‘call for’ oil delivery are still struggling to keep the furnaces going. Oil and propane companies were not prepared for the cold. NOAA had forecast a better…

Back in December we saw warming in the stratosphere develop in the western arctic and Alaska. By the holiday it enveloped northwest North America and the western arctic and had…

Exposure to winter’s dry, cold air and chilly rain, sleet and snow can cause chapped paws and itchy, flaking skin, but these aren’t the only discomforts pets can suffer. Winter…

A dangerously cold and massive arctic air mass dominates tNorth America east of the Continental Divide. Anomalies are almost off the scale as people prepare for New Year’s festivities. Temperatures…

It is another frigid morning int the Great Lakes and Northeast states. As we showed in the region update, Lake Effect has really kicked in with a record snow blitz…

The period Dec 21-Jan 10 will be the coldest 20 day period centered on the New Years since 2000-2001 for the nation as a whole. This has been my missive…

When was the last time in December people were fired up about the rest of the winter? We continue to see links to 95-96. The SST has cooled in the…

The cold is coming, See the paint bomb on the 15 day ensemble EPS. That usually means trouble around the edges. In today’s regional update we looked at the last…

December 18, 2017 The Euro’s first three weeks are very cold. The week ending December 29: The week ending January 5: The week ending January 12: Then the flip occurs…

December 18, 2017 Euro forecasting a huge flip after Week 3. It’s warmer, but inherent model problems limit me taking a stand. The model is notoriously too warm in the…

The idea of snow or ice to the gulf coast during Christmas week is certainly something modeling is seeing, In fact, a whole battle zone from Texas to the mid-Atlantic…

Seasonal forecasting is still on the cutting edge of the science of meteorology. People hear about the latest seasonal forecast model runs and El Niño/La Niña, but what actually forms…

While the cold air developing in the arctic is impressive, it may have some side effects. Depending on where the cold air plunges, there will be two compensating ridges (that’s…