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Month: December 2017

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Cold Weather Safety Tips for your Pets

Exposure to winter’s dry, cold air and chilly rain, sleet and snow can cause chapped paws and itchy, flaking skin, but these aren’t the only discomforts pets can suffer. Winter…

Dangerously Cold New Years Eve and storm may be back

A dangerously cold and massive arctic air mass dominates tNorth America east of the Continental Divide. Anomalies are almost off the scale as people prepare for New Year’s festivities. Temperatures…

Could the brutal cold period also see a blizzard?

It is another frigid morning int the Great Lakes and Northeast states. As we showed in the region update, Lake Effect has really kicked in with a record snow blitz…

Reflections on a Cold Winters Eve

The period Dec 21-Jan 10 will be the coldest 20 day period centered on the New Years since 2000-2001 for the nation as a whole. This has been my missive…

Crucial Linkage to 95-96 in SST,MJO

When was the last time in December people were fired up about the rest of the winter? We continue to see links to 95-96. The SST has cooled in the…

Ice and snow to come with the cold – models struggle with details

The cold is coming, See the paint bomb on the 15 day ensemble EPS. That usually means trouble around the edges. In today’s regional update we looked at the last…

Euro Weekly Comment ( temperatures)

December 18, 2017 The Euro’s first three weeks are very cold. The week ending December 29: The week ending January 5: The week ending January 12: Then the flip occurs…

Euro Weekly Comment ( 500)

December 18, 2017 Euro forecasting a huge flip after Week 3. It’s warmer, but inherent model problems limit me taking a stand. The model is notoriously too warm in the…

Snow or Ice to the Gulf Coast During Christmas week?

The idea of snow or ice to the gulf coast during Christmas week is certainly something modeling is seeing, In fact, a whole battle zone from Texas to the mid-Atlantic…

A note on seasonal forecasting and this winter

Seasonal forecasting is still on the cutting edge of the science of meteorology. People hear about the latest seasonal forecast model runs and El Niño/La Niña, but what actually forms…

Record warm Christmas?

While the cold air developing in the arctic is impressive, it may have some side effects. Depending on where the cold air plunges, there will be two compensating ridges (that’s…

Model Craziness

This morning I went over the abrupt change in the models from yesterday to today in relation to an Omega Block off the West Coast. Look at the hemispheric Euro…

DAY 11 ANALOGS FROM CPC

One of the analogs is the 1967 example! The surface temps 500 mb 10 days later temps 500 mb 20 days Can you see what goes on here? The extreme…

Using the Light of What you Know to Journey to Where You Dont know

Here is how I am looking at this around North America ( What I believe I know) 1 There is tremendous cold air around Canada in the coming weeks. The…

Storms may increase white Christmas odds, threaten holiday travel in midwestern, northeastern US

A stormy pattern in the days leading up to Christmas may increase odds for a white Christmas in the midwestern and northeastern United States but may also pose concerns for…

Snowstorms in the South: An Historical Perspective

Snowstorms in the Southeast and Deep South of the United States: An Historical Perspective Atlanta, Georgia was amazed recently when 4-6” of snow (and ice) accumulated this past Sunday and…

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