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Euro Weekly Comment ( 500)

December 18, 2017 Euro forecasting a huge flip after Week 3. It’s warmer, but inherent model problems limit me taking a stand. The model is notoriously too warm in the…

Snow or Ice to the Gulf Coast During Christmas week?

The idea of snow or ice to the gulf coast during Christmas week is certainly something modeling is seeing, In fact, a whole battle zone from Texas to the mid-Atlantic…

A note on seasonal forecasting and this winter

Seasonal forecasting is still on the cutting edge of the science of meteorology. People hear about the latest seasonal forecast model runs and El Niño/La Niña, but what actually forms…

Record warm Christmas?

While the cold air developing in the arctic is impressive, it may have some side effects. Depending on where the cold air plunges, there will be two compensating ridges (that’s…

Model Craziness

This morning I went over the abrupt change in the models from yesterday to today in relation to an Omega Block off the West Coast. Look at the hemispheric Euro…

DAY 11 ANALOGS FROM CPC

One of the analogs is the 1967 example! The surface temps 500 mb 10 days later temps 500 mb 20 days Can you see what goes on here? The extreme…

Using the Light of What you Know to Journey to Where You Dont know

Here is how I am looking at this around North America ( What I believe I know) 1 There is tremendous cold air around Canada in the coming weeks. The…

Storms may increase white Christmas odds, threaten holiday travel in midwestern, northeastern US

A stormy pattern in the days leading up to Christmas may increase odds for a white Christmas in the midwestern and northeastern United States but may also pose concerns for…

Snowstorms in the South: An Historical Perspective

Snowstorms in the Southeast and Deep South of the United States: An Historical Perspective Atlanta, Georgia was amazed recently when 4-6” of snow (and ice) accumulated this past Sunday and…

Orionid Meteor Shower Will Peak Overnight, With Best Show Before Dawn

The Orionid Meteor Shower in 2012, as seen in Bridgeport, Calif. The Orionid Meteor Shower will reach its peak on Friday night and Saturday morning, with the best viewing shortly…

What to do if a Nuclear Blast lands on US Soil?

Nuclear Blast A nuclear blast is an explosion with intense light and heat, a damaging pressure wave, and widespread radioactive material that can contaminate the air, water, and ground surfaces…

A Hitchhiker’s Guide to Tornado Alley

The term “Tornado Alley” has become a common term to describe the region in America most affected by twisters, but a closer look reveals that Tornado Alley is actually composed…

With Increased Destruction, a New Tornado Alley Emerges

It’s no mystery why the stretch of America’s heartland from Iowa to Texas became known as Tornado Alley. Every spring, twisters up to two-and-a-half miles wide—wider than Manhattan—churn across flat…

Hurricane Maria, an “extremely dangerous” storm, pounds Dominica

SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico — Hurricane Maria, an “extremely dangerous” storm, made landfall on the small island of Dominica Monday night as a Category 5 storm, then weakened ever-so-slightly to…

Hurricane Irma shares infamous Florida date with Hurricane Donna

With Hurricane Irma’s potentially devastating impact on Southwest Florida predicted to begin today, it’s safe to say those of us who live here will always remember Sept. 10 as the…

Hurricane Irma is one of the most powerful Atlantic hurricanes ever 185 MPH

Hurricane Irma is already one for the record books. On Tuesday, the National Weather Service reported the storm had become a Category 5 with sustained winds of 185 miles per…

The National Hurricane Center Is A Trusted Source As Worrisome Hurricane Irma Looms

Ok, folks, I am officially concerned, and I usually try to be measured. It is Labor Day, and many people are enjoying the day off. There is a group of…

Catastrophic Flooding Paralyzed Houston Texas early Sunday Morning

“Catastrophic” flooding paralyzed Houston and other deluged towns in southeastern Texas early Sunday as Tropical Storm Harvey pummeled and drenched residents and first responders. More than 1,000 people had been…

Here is your Pine Belt Outlook Today & Tropical Update….

Here is your Pine Belt Outlook Today into the Work Week ….. Today through Tonight: A few very light rain showers have continued to move across southern Mississippi early this…

Thursday Evening] Harvey Continuing to Strengthen – Devastating Flooding and Winds Expected in Texas Beginning Friday Night

Latest Advisory from the National Hurricane Center

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