What happens if El Niño suppresses the Main Development Region (MDR)… but the Gulf and western Atlantic stay unusually warm?
ACCURATE FIRST WEATHER — TROPICAL UPDATE With Meteorologist Louis Smith Thursday, May 14, 2026 As we move closer to the start of the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season, one of the…
ACCURATE FIRST WEATHER — TROPICAL UPDATE May 14, 2026
ACCURATE FIRST WEATHER — TROPICAL UPDATE With Meteorologist Louis Smith Thursday, May 14, 2026 The tropics are beginning to slowly wake up as we move closer to the official start…
Can you believe it? Hurricane Season “unofficially” starts this Friday, May 15th.
Can you believe it? Hurricane Season “unofficially” starts this Friday, May 15th. That’s when the National Hurricane Center begins issuing their daily Tropical Weather Outlooks four times a day: 8…
Two River Flood Warnings in Mississippi – Pearl River and Pascagoula River
RIVER FLOOD WARNING UPDATE We are down to two River Flood Warnings across the area as of this evening. Pearl River at Pearl River • Minor flood stage • River…
Serious concern is growing for a potentially dangerous severe weather outbreak across portions of the Plains and Upper Midwest Sunday into Monday.
MULTI-DAY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT DEVELOPING Serious concern is growing for a potentially dangerous severe weather outbreak across portions of the Plains and Upper Midwest Sunday into Monday. Areas of greatest…
Every tornado has its own shape, structure, and personality and some look absolutely nightmare-fueled.
Nature has a terrifying way of showing off. Every tornado has its own shape, structure, and personality — and some look absolutely nightmare-fueled. From thin “rope” tornadoes to massive “mega-wedges,”…
Meteorologist Louis Smith explains the latest drought conditions across the South
ACCURATE FIRST WEATHER – SOUTHERN DROUGHT MONITOR UPDATE Meteorologist Louis Smith explains the latest drought conditions across the South: The Southern United States saw a dramatic split in weather conditions…
ACCURATE FIRST WEATHER — 72 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS MS, LA, AL
ACCURATE FIRST WEATHER — 72 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS With Meteorologist Louis Smith A very impressive swath of rainfall was recorded across portions of Southeast Louisiana, South Mississippi, and Southwest Alabama…
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows the tropical Pacific is rapidly moving toward an El Niño pattern
EL NIÑO WATCH: Pacific Heating Up Fast The latest data from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows the tropical Pacific is rapidly moving toward an El Niño pattern. As of May…
The storm prediction center Outlook for May 8, 2026
For today, Friday, May 8, 2026, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has moved the primary severe threat further south and east as a cold front continues to sag toward the…
National Hurricane Center to issue new forecast cone graphics for 2026 hurricane season
As part of a suite of product improvements for the 2026 hurricane season , NOAA’s National Hurricane Center (NHC) is implementing two new tropical products and services: a new operational…
Camp Mystic Devastating Flooding, what can we learn from it?
The Texas floods could have been mitigated through improved flood warning systems, better land use planning, and enhanced infrastructure. Specifically, implementing a comprehensive flood warning system with sirens, investing in…
Tracking the Remnants of Andrea
Remnants of ANDREA Updated June 25, 2025 Located at 39.6°N, 42.1°W Minimum Pressure: 1015 mb Maximum Winds: 30 kt Radius of Maximum Wind: 40 nm Environmental Pressure: 1016 mb Storm…
WE ARE MOVING TO ACCURATE FIRST WEATHER
ACCURATEFIRSTWEATHER.COM Accurate First Weather provides Weather Forecasts, Updates, and Alerts for the United States including Severe Weather, Winter Weather, and our specialty, Tropical Weather. We run our site on Professionalism…
The Central American Gyre itself can cause heavy rainfall and flooding in Central America
A possibility of tropical development exists in the western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, particularly during the second week of June. This development may be linked to the Central American…
First Day of 2025 Hurricane Season and Something is already Cooking in the Tropics
A tropical disturbance is potentially developing in the Western Caribbean and may move into the Gulf next week. The National Hurricane Center is tracking a broad area of low pressure…
Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be above normal for 2025
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be above average, with several forecasts indicating a potentially active season. Here’s a summary of the predictions: Overall Activity: Most forecasts suggest…
2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
Inaugural video of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, taking a dive into the forecast for how active the season will be….
Forecasters predict an extremely active 2024 Atlantic hurricane season
An extremely active Atlantic hurricane season is likely in 2024, the Colorado State University (CSU) hurricane forecasting team says in its latest seasonal forecast, issued April 4. Led by Dr.…
NHC host a webinar on lessons learned from the 2023 hurricane season and what’s new for the 2024
Join us online next Tuesday, April 23 from 1-2 pm EDT as the NOAA Southeast & Caribbean Regional Team (SECART) and NHC host a webinar on lessons learned from the…
