Meteorologist Rick Smith Overcame Severe Weather Anxiety
Meteorologist Rick Smith can remember he’s been fascinated by weather. His wife actually found a little weather forecast he did in first grade; it’s framed in Rick’s office at the…
Severe Storms: How to Reduce Your Anxiety
Anticipating the arrival of a hurricane, tornado, blizzard, or any severe storm strikes fear and anxiety in the people in its path for good reason. Natural disasters disrupt lives in…
Southeast U.S. Weather Update
The astronomical winter ended a bit above normal thanks to two extra weeks of warmth in February in the southeast. The last 30 days were colder east. The 90 days…
Weather Channel Pioneers
Yahoo reported yesterday “Byron Allen continues to expand his Entertainment Studios media holdings with the purchase of The Weather Channel basic cable TV network. Through his company Allen Media, Allen…
2018 Summer Outlook
February 28, 2018 Fast starting very warm summer for much of U.S. Centered in the Plains. Early ending of Summer possible though (opposite of last year) Long-standing analogs from last…
2018 Hurricane Season Preliminary Outlook
March 14, 2018 Analogs are based off last year. Double weight to 1951 and 2006 2014 added as SSTs are the closest match. Next update with an impact map will…
Tornado Safety Tips this Spring – Please Share!!!
Social Media: Tornado Safety #SpringSafety Please help the National Weather Service spread these important safety messages on social media! Everyone is welcome to use the text and images provided below…
Reports of serious damage as tornado rips through Alabama university campus
Severe storms including at least one tornado slammed Alabama’s Jacksonville State University on Monday night, as state troopers said the damage left the city looking like a “war zone.” Strong…
A Huge Fight in the Longer Range Models
The euro is lining up an analog idea. Remember when we laid this out back in Feb, the analogs we showed said to watch for this have another fit of…
Why a 50% chance of rain usually means a 100% chance of confusion.
It’s one of the most misunderstood terms in all of the weather, the chance of rain. You hear it and see it in just about every weather forecast nowadays, but…
Snow to pick up in typical La Nina late winter areas
With the dip in the SOI, storminess will increase and snow will occur but note until the SSW induced tanking of the AO and then NAO, it will be messy…
Lot’s to Talk about on What’s ahead for us this year!!!
There is much to talk about this morning First of all the European ensembles which earlier in the week had a warm looking 10-15 ( still do) have a cold…
Warming arctic at 30mb
Some recent SSWs – 2009. and 2001. AO is drifting down. It should accelerate. the GEFS sees the normal -AO temperature anomalies across the hemisphere. The 16 day GFS shows…
The Euro is Flat Out Strange
So we go from this on the 00z turn from Wednesday evening that the entire weekly package was based on For 00z Friday Feb 16 to this at 12z yesterday…
UPDATE: The new European is warm. I don’t believe it!!!
This looks like the ANTILOG to what we look for to get warmth over the eastern U.S. The model run is very warm and bearish, once past the front 10…
Euro Temp Update
It is hard to believe this kind of flip in the model, given the analogs and the actual weather in the source regions which argue for the opposite. I would…
2018 Hurricane Prediction – Strongest Cycle in 70 Years
GWO was cited by media as the only organization correctly predicting last year’s Atlantic hurricane season and destructive landfalls OCALA, FLA. (PRWEB) JANUARY 18, 2018 Global Weather Oscillations (GWO) was…
Next week Fits Pattern Recognition ideas – Snow to the Gulf Coast!!!
I like the storm next week, The models have a problem that most likely will affect the US model more in that the real storm will be the second piece…
Frigid late December to early January impacts linger
Many who normally ‘call for’ oil delivery are still struggling to keep the furnaces going. Oil and propane companies were not prepared for the cold. NOAA had forecast a better…
Repeat of December sequence
Back in December we saw warming in the stratosphere develop in the western arctic and Alaska. By the holiday it enveloped northwest North America and the western arctic and had…
