The main concern will continue to be the potential for severe weather later tonight. There remain a few questions as to how things will develop over the next 12-18 hours. While the system moving into the region is very robust and should likely bring severe weather to our area, much of the hi-res guidance indicates that this may not be the case – or what develops is not either widespread or significant.
As the upper trough takes on a negative tilt while it moves out of the Central Plains, and the surface low deepens, storms will develop along a dryline feature across Texas. As this occurs, another cluster of storms looks to develop along the Louisiana and Mississippi Gulf Coast around or after midnight.
If this cluster develops, it most likely could cut off available moisture/instability that storms further north may need to develop. However, this cluster of storms will tap into the marine layer and have the potential to perhaps be the best severe storms in the area as it moves north into coastal Mississippi and perhaps further north into the Pine Belt.
A combination of slight/marginal risk covers this threat decently with potential for damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes.
Much of the activity will exit eastern Mississippi between 7am and 9am Saturday morning. Clearing skies will occur on Saturday but colder weather is not expected as highs on Saturday will be in the mid-70s.
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